I’d say the other four will be, give or take one (or two or three): “Grbavica” (Bosnia and Herzegovina), “The Lives of Others” (Germany), “Days of Glory” (Algeria), and “Volver” (Spain). (I’ve seen all four — I believe they’ve got what it takes, whether it’s quality or sentiment and/or Social Importance.)

But it’s really a tough call. There are a number of foreign-language films that deserve a nomination (”The Yacoubian Building” from Egypt and “Pan’s Labyrinth” from Mexico come to mind), and others that I believe don’t deserve one (”The Lives of Others,” “Days of Glory”) but will probably be nominated anyhow because of the appropriate market push and because the submitting countries know what make the Foreign Language Film Academy voters tick.

And there are only five slots…