Golden Globes 2010 Predictions – Best Screenplay


Golden Globes 2010 Predictions – Best Screenplay

Abbie Cornish, Ben Whishaw in Bright Star

Jane Campion, Bright Star (above, Abbie Cornish, Ben Whishaw)

A poet’s brief and tragic love affair

Paula Patton in Precious

Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire (above, Paula Patton)

An illiterate pregnant teen, her teacher, her social worker & her mother

Saoirse Ronan in The Lovely Bones

Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, The Lovely Bones (above, Saoirse Ronan)

A murdered girl among angels and her murderer among us

Morgan Freeman in Invictus

Anthony Peckham, Invictus (above, Morgan Freeman)

One Nation Under Rugby

Anna Kendrick, George Clooney in Up in the Air

Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air (above, Anna Kendrick, George Clooney)

A professional downsizer is grounded, but love is up in the clouds

 

Oftentimes, a film that doesn’t make it into the Golden GlobesBest Picture – Drama or Best Picture – Comedy or Musical shortlist, ends up nominated in the Best Screenplay (original or adapted) category, e.g., You Can Count on Me, Memento, Far from Heaven, Crash, Notes on a Scandal, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly.

Those are almost invariably smaller films, and that’s why I believe that Jane Campion’s Bright Star — romantic, tragic, gorgeous — will make the cut this year. That is, unless Hollywood Foreign Press Association members decide to pick a writer-director star: in that case, Quentin Tarantino would be in for Inglourious Basterds.

True, the Lovely Bones screenwriters — whom I have listed above — have been criticized by some for diluting the original novel, but there seems to be enough appreciation for the film to guarantee them at least a nomination. In fact, there’s no rule, written or otherwise, that stipulates that only films with 100% approval ratings can get nominated for the year’s top awards. I mean, look at the Oscars: Gladiator, A Beautiful Mind, Crash, etc. etc. were greeted by — at best — mixed reviews.

Carey Mulligan, Dominic Cooper in An Education

Other strong best screenplay possibilities are: Nick Hornby, An Education (above, with Carey Mulligan, Dominic Cooper); Michael Tolkin, Anthony Minghella, Nine; Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker; and Nora Ephron, Julie & Julia.

And here are some more: Scott Z. Burns, The Informant!; Peter Straughan, The Men Who Stare at Goats; Michael Hoffman, The Last Station; Joe Penhall, The Road; and Nancy Meyers, It’s Complicated.

Less likely but not impossible: Woody Allen, Whatever Works; John Lee Hancock, The Blind Side.

I should add that it’s been reported that Rob Marshall’s Nine is not another Chicago. I’d have thought that would be a good thing, but apparently the comparison isn’t supposed to be taken as a compliment.


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