Oscar 2010: Early Predictions – Best Documentary

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BEST DOCUMENTARY

Agnes Varda in The Beaches of Agnes

The Beaches of Agnès, Agnès Varda

Veteran filmmaker Agnès Varda remembers her life’s beaches, sand dunes, sun rays, and more.

Burma VJ

Burma VJ, Anders Østergaard

In 2007, thousands of monks took to the streets of Burma to protest the military government’s brutal anti-democratic policies.

The Cove, Louie Psihoyos

Beautiful, intelligent dolphins are abused and slaughtered to provide entertainment and fodder for ugly, stupid people. The bloody cove of the title is located near Taijii, Japan, where the government does nothing to stop the slaughter.

Food, Inc. by Robert Kenner

Food, Inc., Robert Kenner

The distasteful food industry and their government accomplices vs. your health

The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers by Judith Ehrlich, Rick Goldsmith

The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers, Judith Ehrlich and Rick Goldsmith

Daniel Ellsberg, the Vietnam War, the Pentagon Papers, undemocracy at work, Watergate, and the fall of the unscrupulous Nixon regime

Like other categories such as best foreign-language film, best original song, and best short subjects, the potential Oscar nominees in the best documentary category are hard to predict because the nominees (and in this case the eventual winner) are decided upon by a relatively small group of people, each with their own sets of rules and regulations, minimum passing grades, pet peeves, personal friendships, et al.

Addendum (Nov. 18): So difficult to predict, in fact, that two of the films previously listed above — Michael Moore’s Capitalism: A Love Story and Yoav Shamir’s Defamation — were not even included in the Academy’s Documentary Branch list of 15 semi-finalists for the best feature documentary 2010 Oscar. Also left out was R. J. Cutler’s widely acclaimed The September Issue, listed below as a “strong potential contender.”

Anna Wintour in The September Issue by R. J. Cutler

Another strong potential contender is: R. J. Cutler’s The September Issue (above), which focuses on Vogue editor-in-chief Anna Wintour’s preparations for her magazine’s 2007 fall issue.

And there’s also Kirby Dick’s daring Outrage, an indictment against several closeted anti-gay politicians.

Among the other documentaries in the running are (some of those depend on their actual release dates in Los Angeles/New York):

Elephant in Earth

Alastair Fothergill and Mark Linfield’s box-office hit Earth (above); Adam Del Deo and James D. Stern’s Every Little Step, which looks at those auditioning for a Broadway production of A Chorus Line; James Toback’s Tyson, about fighter Mike Tyson; and Matt Tyrnauer’s Valentino: The Last Emperor, about the fashion designer.

Racing Dreams by Marshall Curry

Also, Marshall Curry’s Racing Dreams (above); Davis Guggenheim’s It Might Get Loud; Sacha Gervasi’s Anvil! The Story of Anvil; Terence DaviesOf Time and the City, Aron Gaudet’s The Way We Get By, and Lucy Bailey and Andrew Thompson’s Mugabe and the White African.

I don’t believe that Jonas Brothers: The 3D Concert has a chance.

Sources: All These Wonderful Things, Thompson on Hollywood


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