SAG Awards 2010: Predictions – Best Actress
Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station (above, with Anne-Marie Duff and Paul Giamatti)
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Meryl Streep and Carey Mulligan are definitely in for the SAG Awards‘ best actress category, the former for her London student in An Education, the latter for her Julia Child in Julie & Julia. The other three slots are a little more iffy.
I believe Sandra Bullock will get her first best actress SAG nod for her conservative matriarch who adopts an inner-city teen in the surprise fall hit The Blind Side. Bullock has been around for quite a while, and this was her second major hit of 2009 (following The Proposal). And this year she’s proven she can do comedy and drama and earn millions, and that’s no small feat (especially the millions part).
Helen Mirren = prestige and class. Those are always good qualities when it comes to film awards. Mirren did get a best actress – drama Golden Globe nomination and The Last Station did quite well at the Spirit Awards, so her performance has surely been noticed. Gabourey Sidibe is, along with Carey Mulligan, the female newcomer of the year. Considering that Precious is bound to get a best ensemble SAG nod, I believe it’s fair to say that Sidibe will get her own personal nomination since she’s at the core of that film. That said…
Any of the three "strong possibilities" may take the place of one or more of the three aforementioned actresses. And the same goes for even the actresses listed as "possibilities," as they all have strong roles that have been well-received and/or have earned them award recognition, e.g., Catalina Saavedra at the Gothams (though the fact that the film is in Spanish works against her), Abbie Cornish received a best actress nomination from the Chicago Film Critics, Michelle Monaghan won in San Diego, etc.
Penélope Cruz would have a better chance for her role in Broken Embraces if this were the Oscars, but SAG nomination voters tend to shy away from non-English-language films. (Academy members have the same issue with subtitled performances, but it’s less intense.)
And despite her Golden Globe nomination, I don’t believe Julia Roberts has a chance for Duplicity.
Strong possibilities:
Saoirse Ronan, The Lovely Bones
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Possibilities:
Abbie Cornish, Bright Star (above, with Ben Whishaw)
Michelle Pfeiffer, Chéri
Zooey Deschanel, (500) Days of Summer
Michelle Monaghan, Trucker
Natalie Portman, Brothers
Catalina Saavedra, The Maid
Maria Bello, Downloading Nancy
Less likely:
Penélope Cruz, Broken Embraces
Sandra Bullock, The Proposal
Meryl Streep, It’s Complicated
Renee Zellweger, My One and Only
Amy Adams, Julie & Julia
Audrey Tautou, Coco Before Chanel
Hilary Swank, Amelia
Maya Rudolph, Away We Go
Rachel Weisz, The Lovely Bones
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Tags: Carey Mulligan, Film Awards, Gabourey Sidibe, Helen Mirren, Julie and Julia, Meryl Streep, SAG Awards, SAG Awards 2010, Sandra Bullock, Saoirse Ronan
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Carey Mulligan best actress 2009.