James Cameron's Avatar: best long-toothed ensemble blue cast

The nominations for the 2010 SAG Awards will be announced tomorrow morning by Michelle Monaghan and Chris O'Donnell. As usual, expect some surprises.

In the past, SAG voters — only a relatively small group of SAG members vote on the nominations — have made unexpected choices such as Dev Patel for best supporting actor in Slumdog Millionaire, best actress nods for Ziyi Zhang in Memoirs of a Geisha and Patricia Clarkson in The Station Agent, and best ensemble nods for 3:10 to Yuma, Hairspray, and Hustle & Flow.

My SAG Award predictions are probably as accurate as the ones I made for the Golden Globes a while back. In other words, not very. But one thing I can predict for sure (well, almost): Avatar may even take home the best picture Oscar come next March, but it will not be one of the best ensemble SAG nominees. And since I don't believe that many female teens are SAG voters, I can state with a clear conscience that neither Robert Pattinson nor Zac Efron will get a best actor nomination. And neither will The Twilight Saga: New Moon get a best ensemble nod.

Other strong possibilities:

Star Trek – Chris Pine, Zachary Quinto, Eric Bana, Karl Urban, Zoe Saldana, Leonard Nimoy, Bruce Greenwood, Simon Pegg, John Cho, Ben Cross, Winona Ryder.

It's Complicated – Meryl Streep, Alec Baldwin, Steve Martin, John Krasinski, Lake Bell, Mary Kay Place, Rita Wilson, Hunter Parrish, Alexandra Wentworth, Caitlin Fitzgerald, Zoe Kazan. Dir: Nancy Meyers.

An Education – Carey Mulligan, Emma Thompson, Peter Sarsgaard, Alfred Molina, Dominic Cooper, Cara Seymour. Dir: Lone Scherfig.

The Lovely Bones – Saoirse Ronan, Rachel Weisz, Mark Wahlberg, Susan Sarandon, Stanley Tucci. Dir: Peter Jackson.

The Last Station – James McAvoy, Helen Mirren, Christopher Plummer, Paul Giamatti. Dir: Michael Hoffman.

Possibilities:

The Men Who Stare at Goats – George Clooney, Ewan McGregor, Kevin Spacey, Jeff Bridges, Stephen Lang, Robert Patrick. Dir: Grant Heslov.

Bright Star – Abbie Cornish, Ben Whishaw, Kerry Fox, Paul Schneider, Edie Martin. Dir: Jane Campion.

A Single Man – Colin Firth, Julianne Moore, Matthew Goode, Nicholas Hoult. Dir: Tom Ford.

In the Loop – Peter Capaldi, James Gandolfini, Mimi Kennedy, Tom Hollander. Dir: Armando Iannucci.

Less likely:

Invictus – Morgan Freeman, Matt Damon, Tony Kgoroge, Patrick Mofokeng. Dir: Clint Eastwood.

Everybody's Fine – Robert De Niro, Kate Beckinsale, Drew Barrymore, Melissa Leo, Sam Rockwell. Dir: Kirk Jones.

Chéri – Michelle Pfeiffer, Kathy Bates, Rupert Friend. Dir: Stephen Frears.

The Young Victoria – Emily Blunt, Rupert Friend, Paul Bettany, Miranda Richardson, Jim Broadbent, Thomas Kretschmann, Mark Strong, Jesper Christensen. Dir: Jean-Marc Vallée.

Crazy Heart – Jeff Bridges, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Robert Duvall. Dir: Scott Cooper.

Me and Orson Welles – Zac Efron, Claire Danes, Christian McKay, Ben Chaplin, Zoe Kazan, Eddie Marsan, Kelly Reilly. Dir: Richard Linklater.

Brothers – Natalie Portman, Tobey Maguire, Jake Gyllenhaal, Bailee Madison, Sam Shepard, Clifton Collins Jr., Carey Mulligan. Dir: Jim Sheridan.

Way Less Likely:

Avatar – Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldana, Sigourney Weaver, Giovanni Ribisi, Wes Studi.

Adventurous choice:

Moon – Sam Rockwell in what amounts to an ensemble of one. Dir: Duncan Jones.