We're looking for contributors

BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office

Breaking Dawn Part 2 kristen Stewart fight sceneBreaking Dawn Part 2 vs. Skyfall, Lincoln: Post-Thanksgiving North American box office

Breaking Dawn Part 2, starring Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson, and Taylor Lautner, may top the North American box office for the third consecutive weekend. If so, the Bill Condon-directed fantasy will become the second (and last) Twilight movie to achieve that feat, following Breaking Dawn Part 1, which ruled over a generally anemic group of movies in late fall 2011. (Photo: Breaking Dawn Part 2 Kristen Stewart as Bella Swan, ready to do battle with James Bond and Abraham Lincoln.)

Notice that I wrote "Breaking Dawn Part 2 … may…" threepeat. In other words, it may not. Remember that the Twilight movies have generally continued their fast downward spiral on their third weekend out at the domestic box office: Condon's Breaking Dawn Part 1 was down 60 percent, David Slade's Eclipse 58 percent, Chris Weitz's New Moon 64 percent, and Catherine Hardwicke's Twilight a more modest 50 percent — though down from more modest heights as well. (The source for those percentages is Box Office Mojo.)

If Breaking Dawn Part 2 is down a very modest 50 percent (modest when compared to previous Twilight sequels), it should easily top the domestic box office, with around $21m. However, that seems highly unlikely.

So, if Breaking Dawn Part 2 is down a more likely 60 percent, it'll be running neck and neck with two other movies: Sam Mendes / Daniel Craig's James Bond flick Skyfall and Steven Spielberg / Daniel Day-Lewis' Lincoln. Barring a box office twist à la the Breaking Dawn Part 2 finale, all three movies should earn somewhere around $16.5m-$18.5m. [See also: "Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson Breaking Dawn Part 2 to Become Brazil's Top 2012 Movie?"]

Expect a Bella vs. Bond vs. Abe battle to the death…

Breaking Dawn Part 2 and previous Twilight movies' third-weekend drop-off rates

For the record: In fall 2008, Twilight (which stars only Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson) was no. 3 on its second weekend out, trailing the Reese Witherspoon / Vince Vaughn comedy Four Christmases and the animated feature Bolt. In fall 2009, after two weekends on top New Moon trailed the Sandra Bullock blockbuster The Blind Side on weekend no. 3. And in early summer 2010, Eclipse — which opened on a Wednesday — trailed the animated blockbuster Despicable Me on weekend no. 2.

Breaking Dawn Part 2, Skyfall, Lincoln cast members

Besides Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson, and Taylor Lautner, Breaking Dawn Part 2 features Elizabeth Reaser, Peter Facinelli, Ashley Greene, Dakota Fanning, Michael Sheen, Mackenzie Foy, Nikki Reed, Mia Maestro, Jackson Rathbone, Kellan Lutz, Billy Burke, Maggie Grace, Rami Malek, Omar Metwally, and Charlie Bewley.

In addition to Daniel Craig, Skyfall features Ben Whishaw, Javier Bardem, Ralph Fiennes, Bérénice Marlohe, Helen McCrory, Albert Finney, Judi Dench, Naomie Harris, Ola Rapace, Michael G. Wilson, and Roy Kinnear.

In Lincoln, Daniel Day-Lewis' fellow players are Tommy Lee Jones, Sally Field, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, James Spader, David Strathairn, Hal Holbrook, Jackie Earle Haley, Jared Harris, Lee Pace (also of Breaking Dawn Part 2), John Hawkes, Tim Blake Nelson, and Bruce McGill.

Brad Pitt Killing Them Softly to open like its title

This weekend's two new wide releases have no chance of making an impact. Despite the presence of Brad Pitt and a Cannes Film Festival pedigree — though reviews were less than ecstatic at that time — Andrew Dominik's The Weinstein Company-distributed Killing Them Softly is expected to open (at 2,424 locations) on the wrong side of the $10m mark. Besides Brad Pitt, the Killing Them Softly cast includes Ray Liotta, James Gandolfini, Scoot McNairy, Ben Mendelsohn, Sam Shepard, Max Casella, and Garret Dillahunt.

Marcus Dunstan's horror flick The Collection, a sequel to Dunstan's little-seen The Collector, should gross quite a bit less than $5 million at 1,403 sites. The Collection has a rumored $10m budget — if true, the very fact that the movie got made is a bigger mystery that whatever takes place on screen, considering that its 2009 predecessor grossed a paltry $9.44 million worldwide. The Collection cast includes Josh Stewart, Christopher McDonald, Johanna Braddy, Navi Rawat, Michael Nardelli, Brandon Molale, Lee Tergesen, Shannon Kane, and Arloa Reston.

Kristen Stewart Breaking Dawn Part 2 image: Summit Entertainment.

If you enjoyed reading BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office and/or found it an informative post, please recommend it to your friends. See share buttons above or on the left.
BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office last modified:

Continue Reading: Robert Pattinson and Kristen Stewart Beat Tough Guys Daniel Craig and Daniel Day-Lewis

Previous Post: Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson BREAKING DAWN PART 2 to Become Brazil's Top 2012 Movie?


"BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office" © 2004-2014 Alt Film Guide and/or author(s). Text NOT to be reproduced without prior written consent.


Feel free to leave your comment about the Alt Film Guide article "BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office" in the space below. Note: Different views and opinions are perfectly fine, but courtesy and respect are imperative. Abusive, bigoted, trollish, baseless (spreading rumors or misinformation), and inflammatory comments and/or remarks will be deleted, and such commenters may be banned.

You can use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>




FAST & FURIOUS: Vin Diesel Movie Tops Box Office
Robert Pattinson on Ellen DeGeneres Show (NEW MOON)
Family Movies Are Here, Movie Audiences Are Elsewhere: Box Office
Channing Tatum/21 JUMP STREET: Box Office
Brooklyn Decker Box Office: BATTLESHIP Tanks, WHAT TO EXPECT Below Expectations
THE AVENGERS Movie Box Office: Third to Reach $600m Mark
Sylvester Stallone BULLET TO THE HEAD: Stallone's Worst Opening in Three Decades
THE LONE RANGER Weekend Box Office: Bigger Flop Than Anticipated?
One Direction Movie Box Office: One of Worst Friday-Saturday Drops Ever
Tom Hanks CAPTAIN PHILLIPS Box Office: One of Hanks' Best Debuts in Last Decade