We're looking for contributors


Breaking Dawn Part 2 kristen Stewart fight sceneBreaking Dawn Part 2 vs. Skyfall, Lincoln: Post-Thanksgiving North American box office

Breaking Dawn Part 2, starring Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson, and Taylor Lautner, may top the North American box office for the third consecutive weekend. If so, the Bill Condon-directed fantasy will become the second (and last) Twilight movie to achieve that feat, following Breaking Dawn Part 1, which ruled over a generally anemic group of movies in late fall 2011. (Photo: Breaking Dawn Part 2 Kristen Stewart as Bella Swan, ready to do battle with James Bond and Abraham Lincoln.)

Notice that I wrote "Breaking Dawn Part 2 ... may..." threepeat. In other words, it may not. Remember that the Twilight movies have generally continued their fast downward spiral on their third weekend out at the domestic box office: Condon's Breaking Dawn Part 1 was down 60 percent, David Slade's Eclipse 58 percent, Chris Weitz's New Moon 64 percent, and Catherine Hardwicke's Twilight a more modest 50 percent – though down from more modest heights as well. (The source for those percentages is Box Office Mojo.)

If Breaking Dawn Part 2 is down a very modest 50 percent (modest when compared to previous Twilight sequels), it should easily top the domestic box office, with around $21m. However, that seems highly unlikely.

So, if Breaking Dawn Part 2 is down a more likely 60 percent, it'll be running neck and neck with two other movies: Sam Mendes / Daniel Craig's James Bond flick Skyfall and Steven Spielberg / Daniel Day-Lewis' Lincoln. Barring a box office twist à la the Breaking Dawn Part 2 finale, all three movies should earn somewhere around $16.5m-$18.5m. [See also: "Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson Breaking Dawn Part 2 to Become Brazil's Top 2012 Movie?"]

Expect a Bella vs. Bond vs. Abe battle to the death...

Breaking Dawn Part 2 and previous Twilight movies' third-weekend drop-off rates

For the record: In fall 2008, Twilight (which stars only Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson) was no. 3 on its second weekend out, trailing the Reese Witherspoon / Vince Vaughn comedy Four Christmases and the animated feature Bolt. In fall 2009, after two weekends on top New Moon trailed the Sandra Bullock blockbuster The Blind Side on weekend no. 3. And in early summer 2010, Eclipse – which opened on a Wednesday – trailed the animated blockbuster Despicable Me on weekend no. 2.

Breaking Dawn Part 2, Skyfall, Lincoln cast members

Besides Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson, and Taylor Lautner, Breaking Dawn Part 2 features Elizabeth Reaser, Peter Facinelli, Ashley Greene, Dakota Fanning, Michael Sheen, Mackenzie Foy, Nikki Reed, Mia Maestro, Jackson Rathbone, Kellan Lutz, Billy Burke, Maggie Grace, Rami Malek, Omar Metwally, and Charlie Bewley.

In addition to Daniel Craig, Skyfall features Ben Whishaw, Javier Bardem, Ralph Fiennes, Bérénice Marlohe, Helen McCrory, Albert Finney, Judi Dench, Naomie Harris, Ola Rapace, Michael G. Wilson, and Roy Kinnear.

In Lincoln, Daniel Day-Lewis' fellow players are Tommy Lee Jones, Sally Field, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, James Spader, David Strathairn, Hal Holbrook, Jackie Earle Haley, Jared Harris, Lee Pace (also of Breaking Dawn Part 2), John Hawkes, Tim Blake Nelson, and Bruce McGill.

Brad Pitt Killing Them Softly to open like its title

This weekend's two new wide releases have no chance of making an impact. Despite the presence of Brad Pitt and a Cannes Film Festival pedigree – though reviews were less than ecstatic at that time – Andrew Dominik's The Weinstein Company-distributed Killing Them Softly is expected to open (at 2,424 locations) on the wrong side of the $10m mark. Besides Brad Pitt, the Killing Them Softly cast includes Ray Liotta, James Gandolfini, Scoot McNairy, Ben Mendelsohn, Sam Shepard, Max Casella, and Garret Dillahunt.

Marcus Dunstan's horror flick The Collection, a sequel to Dunstan's little-seen The Collector, should gross quite a bit less than $5 million at 1,403 sites. The Collection has a rumored $10m budget – if true, the very fact that the movie got made is a bigger mystery that whatever takes place on screen, considering that its 2009 predecessor grossed a paltry $9.44 million worldwide. The Collection cast includes Josh Stewart, Christopher McDonald, Johanna Braddy, Navi Rawat, Michael Nardelli, Brandon Molale, Lee Tergesen, Shannon Kane, and Arloa Reston.

Kristen Stewart Breaking Dawn Part 2 image: Summit Entertainment.

If you found BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office an informative post, please recommend it to your friends. See share buttons above and on the left.
And consider following Alt Film Guide on Facebook and/or joining the FB group All About Movies.
BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office © 2004-2015 Alt Film Guide and/or author(s). Text NOT to be reproduced without prior written consent.

Continue Reading: Robert Pattinson and Kristen Stewart Beat Tough Guys Daniel Craig and Daniel Day-Lewis

Previous Post: Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson BREAKING DAWN PART 2 to Become Brazil's Top 2012 Movie?

You can leave your comment about BREAKING DAWN PART 2 vs. SKYFALL vs. LINCOLN: Weekend Box Office in the space below. Important: Different views and opinions are perfectly fine, but courtesy and respect are imperative. Abusive, bigoted, baseless (spreading misinformation), and/or inflammatory comments will be deleted, and such commenters may be banned.

You can use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

ALICE IN WONDERLAND Tops Box Office: Third Consecutive Weekend
'Neutron Star Collision (Love Is Forever)': Muse ECLIPSE Music Video
ECLIPSE Grosses Nearly as Much as THE LAST AIRBENDER, TOY STORY 3 Combined: Box Office
UNSTOPPABLE Still Tops; Box Office Way Down on Wednesday
SLEEPWALK WITH ME Box Office: 2012's Third-Highest Average
SKYFALL Box Office: To Become Most Successful James Bond Movie Ever?
THE HOST Box Office Flops Despite Stephenie Meyer Brand
CATCHING FIRE Box Office: To Surpass IRON MAN 3 in North America?