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Predictions: Golden Globes 2013

Anthony Hopkins Hitchcock movieGolden Globes 2013 predictions

The Golden Globes 2013 nominations will be announced early Thursday morning. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association has often been accused of catering to the stars, i.e., the Golden Globe nominees are those who would look best in a tuxedo or an evening gown, and who would lure the most television viewers. That accusation is both fair and unfair. (Photo: Anthony Hopkins Hitchcock.)

True, for the Golden Globe voters, it’s all about the party. But really, are the SAG Awards, the Oscars, and most of the North American critics’ groups all that different? After all, critics’ associations may not always throw parties, but they do want to be noticed during awards — read: Oscar — season. That’s a key reason why Jennifer Lawrence and Jessica Chastain will be mentioned infinitely more often than, say, Middle of Nowhere’s Emayatzy Corinealdi or In Another Country’s Isabelle Huppert. In fact, Corinealdi and Huppert will be lucky if they get mentioned at all, it seems.

Foreign-language films, starless small movies have little chance

Anyhow, below are my Golden Globes 2013 predictions in most Film categories. Now, bear in mind that a) non-English-language films are only rarely nominated in “regular” categories b) performers in little-seen movies almost invariably go nomination-less (and there go the chances of, say, Emayatzy Corinealdi and Smashed’s Mary Elizabeth Winstead, while the chances for Quvenzhané Wallis and the star-less Beasts of the Southern Wild are a bit iffy).

2013 Golden Globes Predictions

Best Picture - Drama

Argo; The Hunger Games; Life of Pi; Lincoln; Zero Dark Thirty.

Possibilities: The Dark Knight Rises; Flight; Amour; Django Unchained; Beasts of the Southern Wild.

Best Actor - Drama

Matt Damon, Promised Land; Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln; Richard Gere, Arbitrage; Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained; Denzel Washington, Flight.

Possibilities: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master; Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour; Ben Affleck, Argo; Tom Hanks, Cloud Atlas; Garrett Hedlund, On the Road; Jake Gyllenhaal, End of Watch; Robert Pattinson, Cosmopolis.

Best Actress - Drama

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty; Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone; Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises; Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games; Naomi Watts, The Impossible.

Possibilities: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour; Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina; Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea; Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild.

Best Picture - Comedy or Musical

The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel; Les Misérables; Moonrise Kingdom; Silver Linings Playbook; Ted.

Possibilities: Hyde Park on the Hudson; The Sessions; Skyfall.

Best Actor - Comedy or Musical

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook; Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock; Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables; Bill Murray, Hyde Park on the Hudson; Mark Wahlberg, Ted.

Possibilities: John Hawkes, The Sessions; Brad Pitt, Killing Them Softly; Johnny Depp, Dark Shadows.

Best Actress - Comedy or Musical

Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel; Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook; Helen Mirren, Hitchcock; Meryl Streep, Hope Springs; Barbra Streisand, The Guilt Trip.

Possibilities: Laura Linney, Hyde Park on the Hudson; Bette Midler, Parental Guidance; Julia Roberts, Mirror Mirror; Maggie Smith, Quartet.

Best Supporting Actor

Javier Bardem, Skyfall; Tom Cruise, Rock of Ages; Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained; Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln; Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike.

Possibilities: Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook; Bruce Willis, Edward Norton, Moonrise Kingdom; Alan Arkin, Argo; Michael Fassbender, Prometheus; Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master; Tom Hiddleston, Robert Downey Jr, The Avengers; Eddie Redmayne, Russell Crowe, Sacha Baron Cohen, Les Misérables; Jude Law, Anna Karenina.

Best Supporting Actress

Sally Field, Lincoln; Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables; Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy; Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel; Kristen Stewart, On the Road.

Possibilities: Helen Hunt, The Sessions; Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises; Scarlett Johansson, Hitchcock; Amy Adams, The Master; Judi Dench, Skyfall; Penélope Cruz, To Rome with Love; Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook; Amanda Seyfried, Helena Bonham Carter, Les Misérables; Susan Sarandon, Arbitrage; Melissa Leo, Flight.

Best Director

Ben Affleck, Argo; Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty; Tom Hooper, Les Misérables; Ang Lee, Life of Pi; Steven Spielberg, Lincoln.

Possibilities: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained; Robert Zemeckis, Flight; David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook; Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom; Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild; John Madden, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel; Michael Haneke, Amour; Gary Ross, The Hunger Games; Dustin Hoffman, Quartet; Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Rises.

Best Screenplay

Chris Terrio, Argo; David Magee, Life of Pi; Tony Kushner, Lincoln; David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook; Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty.

Possibilities: Rian Johnson, Looper; Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained; Michael Haneke, Amour.

Best Animated Feature

Brave, Frankenweenie, Hotel Transylvania, ParaNorman, Wreck-It Ralph.

Anthony Hopkins Hitchcock photo: Fox Searchlight Pictures.

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12 Comments to Golden Globes Predictions: From Anthony Hopkins to Kristen Stewart

  1. Bonboy

    Hey i think Kristen Stewart’s great as Marylou at OTR even she’s only supporting actress, i saw OTR in Thailand. Nominated or not Kristen’s a great young actress.

  2. Em

    I guess the trick is to weigh the “star appeal” versus the movie/actor. And maybe, sometimes, what the voters cup of tea is. I´m still upset over Michael Fassbenders snubb.

  3. Andre

    @Tam

    I’m going a little out on a limb with the Kristen Stewart nom, but really, what about Nicole Kidman for “The Paperboy”? Matt Damon for “Promised Land”? Barbra Streiand for “The Guilt Trip”?

    And Nicole Kidman DID land a *surprising* Best Supporting Actress SAG Award nod. I should have gone out on a limb with HER last night…

    Now, for the Oscars, I’ll definitely have Helen Hunt and Amy Adams ahead of Kristen Stewart. Not because Stewart is supposed to be bad in “On the Road” — much to the contrary — but because “On the Road” may not be the Academy’s cup of tea. Still not sure about Nicole Kidman, though…

  4. Andre

    @Mel

    Jennifer Lawrence is there for “Silver Linings Playbook” in the comedy / musical category.

  5. Mel

    I’m pretty sure you meant Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook :-) She’s on the top nomination list but not for the Hunger Games

  6. Tam

    Yes, I looked. I went through the noms and the only people who were nominated without buzz and awards were actors who were Oscar nominated or already won an Oscar. These stars are getting special treatment.
    I would understand if you had her in your possibility category but not in the top 5.

  7. Andre

    @Tam

    True, Jacki Weaver was nominated for “Animal Kingdom.” And so was Amy Ryan for “Gone Baby Gone.”
    It’s also true that Jacki Weaver has been a star in Australia for about four decades, while Amy Ryan was a stage name.
    Anyhow, Ann Dowd could theoretically get nominated. I didn’t say it’s impossible. But it’s unlikely.
    Just *look* at the nominees of the last 30 years. Check out how many were unknowns or little-known names in small films.
    While you’re at it, see how many were celebrities who got a nomination in the supporting categories.

  8. Tam

    @Andre

    You can’t compare her with Angelina Jolie. Nobody is like Angelina Jolie. I even say that without being a fan of her. I agree that GG are about star power but they still nominate actors who were praised for their work. Angelina was nominated in an empty comedy category. But saying that you need to be a star to be nominated is wrong. Jacki Weaver was also nominated for Animal Kingdom.

  9. Andre

    @Tam

    Amy Adams was left out of the SAG Awards and “The Master” isn’t exactly the sort of movie Golden Globes voters go for. That’s also why I left out Joaquin Phoenix. Though both are possibilities and are listed as such.

    Ann Dowd isn’t a “Star.” Her chances are small. She didn’t get a SAG Award nod, either.

    Helen Hunt was actually on the shortlist. I took her out and added Kristen Stewart instead because Kristen Stewart is Kristen Stewart, much like Angelina Jolie is Angelia Jolie and that’s why she got a nomination for “The Tourist” and her “In the Land of Blood and Honey” got a nod for Best Foreign Language Film.

    And who was there with the Hollywood Foreign Press Association a few weeks ago, when Jodie Foster was announced as next year’s Cecil B. DeMille Award winner? Kristen Stewart, remember? Those things matter. A lot. Her nomination isn’t guaranteed like, say, Anne Hathaway’s for “Les Miserables,” but it’s Stewart’s best shot this awards season.

  10. Andre

    @Em

    Julia Roberts was nominated for “Duplicity” and “Notting Hill.” (And “Charlie Wilson’s War,” among others.)
    “Mirror, Mirror” isn’t at the top of the list, but it’s certainly a possibility.
    As for “The Hunger Games,” it’s certainly possible as well. Mix of good reviews and solid popularity.
    Ultimately, it’s all — or mostly — about movie stars…

  11. Tam

    Could you explain to me why you predicting Stewart for a Golden Globe and leaving out actresses who had buzz and won critic awards or were nominated for them like
    Emma Watson, Ann Dowd, Helen Hunt and Amy Adams?

  12. Em

    Do you really think The Hunger Games has a chance at best picture? And even more shocking would be Julia Roberts for Mirror Mirror. Wasn´t she pretty much unanimously shot down for that portrayal?







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