They may be ridiculed, derided, and dismissed, but the Hollywood Foreign Press Association's Golden Globes ceremony remains the second most important awards-season event -- in terms of international public awareness -- trailing only the Academy Awards. The nominations for the 2014 Golden Globes ("2013 Golden Globes," if you want to be technical about it) will be announced by Zoe Saldana, Olivia Wilde, and Aziz Ansari (very, very early) on Thursday morning, December 12, 2013.
Who will be the nominees? Which movies and performances will Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences members want to check out after they hear the names and/or titles of this year's nominees?
Well, below are our 2014 Golden Globes predictions. Like the Academy Awards, Hollywood guilds, and most critics' groups, quality is an important element in the HFPA members' selections; but then again, even more important is what's perceived as Oscar-"worthy" (in terms of buzz and thematic scope, not quality) -- and, particularly in the case of the Golden Globes, who gets to come to the party.
As in previous years, if our predictions in the film, acting, directing, and screenplay categories are not on target, blame the members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association -- not us. Note: Not infrequently, more than five nominees are shortlisted for the Golden Globes; we're sticking to five nominees per category. (See also: Who/what actually got nominated; there were a few surprises: Golden Globes 2014 Nominations.)
List of Golden Globes 2014 predictions
Best Picture - Drama: Steve McQueen's 12 Years a Slave, Lee Daniels' The Butler, Jean-Marc Vallée's Dallas Buyers Club, Alfonso Cuarón's Gravity, John Lee Hancock's Saving Mr. Banks (replacing Captain Phillips, initially on our top five list).
Other possibilities: Woody Allen's Blue Jasmine, Paul Greengrass' Captain Phillips, Ryan Coogler's Fruitvale Station, Baz Luhrmann's The Great Gatsby, Peter Jackson's The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Francis Lawrence's The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, Peter Berg's Lone Survivor, Justin Chadwick's Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom, Stephen Frears' Philomena, Denis Villeneuve's Prisoners, Ron Howard's Rush.
Best Picture - Comedy or Musical: David O. Russell's American Hustle, John Well's August: Osage County, Spike Jonze's Her, Alexander Payne's Nebraska, Martin Scorsese's The Wolf of Wall Street.
Other possibilities: Joel and Ethan Coen's Inside Llewyn Davis, Paul Feig's The Heat, Nicole Holofcener's Enough Said, Ben Stiller's The Secret Life of Walter Mitty.
Best Foreign Language Film: Abdellatif Kechiche's Blue Is the Warmest Color, Wong Kar Wai's The Grandmaster, Paolo Sorrentino's The Great Beauty, Thomas Vinterberg's The Hunt, Asghar Farhadi's The Past.
Other possibilities: Ziad Doueiri's The Attack, Felix Van Groeningen's The Broken Circle Breakdown, Calin Peter Netzer's Child's Pose, Sebastián Lelio's Gloria, Anthony Chen's Ilo Ilo, Pedro Almodóvar's I'm So Excited, Hirokazu Koreeda's Like Father, Like Son, Hany Abu-Assad's Omar, Gilles Bourdos' Renoir, Georg Maas and Judith Kaufmann's Two Lives, Haifaa Al Mansour's Wadjda, Hayao Miyazaki's The Wind Rises.
Other possibilities: Adèle Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color; Brie Larson for Destin Cretton's Short Term 12; Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.
Best Actor - Drama: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave; Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips; Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club; Robert Redford for J.C. Chandor's All Is Lost; Forest Whitaker, The Butler.
Other possibilities: Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom; Tom Hanks (or in Best Supporting Actor category), Saving Mr. Banks; Hugh Jackman, Prisoners; Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station.
Best Actress - Comedy or Musical: Amy Adams, American Hustle; Sandra Bullock, The Heat; Scarlett Johansson for Joseph Gordon-Levitt's Don Jon; Melissa McCarthy, The Heat; Meryl Streep, August: Osage County.
Other possibilities: Greta Gerwig for Noah Baumbach's Frances Ha; Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said.
Best Actor - Comedy or Musical: Christian Bale, American Hustle; Bruce Dern, Nebraska; Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street; Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis; Joaquin Phoenix, Her.
Other possibilities: Bradley Cooper, American Hustle (or in Best Supporting Actor category); James Gandolfini, Enough Said (or in Best Supporting Actor category); Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty.
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle; Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave; Julia Roberts, August: Osage County; June Squibb, Nebraska; Oprah Winfrey, The Butler.
Other possibilities: Amy Adams, American Hustle; Jane Fonda, The Butler; Juliette Lewis, August: Osage County; Margo Martindale, August: Osage County; Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station.
Other possibilities: Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips; Daniel Brühl, Rush; George Clooney, Gravity; Robert De Niro, American Hustle; James Gandolfini, Enough Said; Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street; Jeremy Renner, American Hustle; Sam Shepard, August: Osage County.
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity; Spike Jonze, Her; Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave; David O. Russell, American Hustle; Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street.
Other possibilities: Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine; Joel and Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis; Lee Daniels, The Butler; Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips; Alexander Payne, Nebraska; Jean-Marc Vallée, Dallas Buyers Club.
Best Screenplay: Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine; John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave; David O. Russell and Eric Singer, American Hustle; Tracy Letts' August: Osage County; Kelly Marcel and Sue Smith, Saving Mr. Banks.
Other possibilities: Danny Strong, The Butler; Alfonso Cuarón and Jonás Cuarón, Gravity; Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street; Spike Jonze, Her; Bob Nelson, Nebraska.
Best Animated Feature: Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2, The Croods, Despicable Me 2, Frozen, Monsters University.
Other possibilities: Epic.
Image of Jennifer Lawrence, Jeremy Renner, Amy Adams, Bradley Cooper, Christian Bale in American Hustle movie poster: Sony Pictures.