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Marion Cotillard: Cannes Best Actress Predictions

Marion Cotillard Rust & Bone Matthias Schonhaerts
Marion Cotillard, Matthias Schonhaerts, Rust & Bone

Marion Cotillard is the odds-on Best Actress favorite at the Cannes Film Festival 2012 for her performance as an invalid in Jacques Audiard's De rouille et d'os / Rust & Bone. Cotillard has already won a Best Actress Academy Award, a British Academy Award, and two Césars, but she has never won a Cannes Award in the Official Competition. Barring an upset, this will be her year. [See also Cannes Best Actor Prediction.]

Now, who could be the "upsets"? Well, there are a number of possibilities (and of course, ties aren't infrequent at Cannes).

Veterans Isabelle Huppert and Emmanuelle Riva, the two female stars in Michael Haneke's acclaimed Amour / Love, could share the Best Actress Award — as was the case with the nearly all-female Volver cast in 2006. Or perhaps Huppert and Riva might share a "Best Ensemble" Award with fellow Amour player Jean-Louis Trintignant. That has (sort of) happened in the past: Sidney Lumet's Long Day's Journey into Night, which back in 1962 earned top awards for Katharine Hepburn, Jason Robards, Ralph Richardson, and Dean Stockwell.

Though despised by just about everyone, Ulrich Seidl's Paradies: Liebe / Paradise: Love may earn Margarethe Tiesel the Best Actress trophy. Tiesel's performance did get good reviews despite her character's shortcomings, and the actress also earned quite a bit of praise for her "courage" in the sex & nudity department.

Nicole Kidman in another controversial and much-disliked movie, Lee Daniels' The Paperboy. But as a sexpot — or rather, sexboilingkettle — who gives Zac Efron a golden shower, Kidman does have a chance, especially when her The Paperboy character is seen next to her journalist Martha Gellhorn in Philip Kaufman's Hemingway & Gellhorn, which was also screened at Cannes (though not in competition).

Isabelle Huppert again in Hong Sang-soo's In Another Country, in which she plays three different roles. Now, since Huppert has already won two Best Actress Awards at Cannes, that makes her a somewhat less likely contender this year. Another possible handicap: to put it mildly, In Another Country wasn't exactly a critical favorite.

Cristina Flutur, as a woman still in love with her former companion, a (now) Orthodox Christian nun (Cosmina Stratan), in Cristian Mungiu's Beyond the Hills. Icing on the cake: Flutur's character is possibly either mad or possessed by the devil.

Kristen Stewart as the free-spirited Marylou in Walter Salles' On the Road. Considering that Stewart's role seems to be subordinate to those of Garrett Hedlund and Sam Riley, her chances of a Best Actress win are somewhat diminished. But then again, Stewart and Hedlund received most of the praise bestowed on Salles' film adaptation of Jack Kerouac's novel. Also, a relatively small role in Denys Arcand's The Barbarian Invasions didn't prevent Marie-Josée Croze from taking home the Best Actress Award nine years ago.

Marion Cotillard, Matthias Schonhaerts / Rust & Bone picture: Cannes Film Festival.

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6 Comments to Marion Cotillard: Cannes Best Actress Predictions

  1. Kit van Cleave

    The only issue which could get in Cotillard's way is the French resentment of artists who do well in American films. Otherwise, I'm with Marion.

  2. To put it strongly, In Another Country was exactly a critical favorite, but only for festival critics, not for normal folks you seem to talk to.

    See the collected critics ratings at
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmdgVGA_rtJzdHhmRmRtejhteGs1V0NiWVJhTWJOUlE

    where the Hong Sangsoo has the 2nd best ratings of all competition films of 45 festival critics. Leading is Holy Motors there

  3. dream

    Kristen Actually has a good chance of wining this the reviews are raving about her, you never know she might win this,

  4. Bailey

    Thanks Andre

    Wow really good to know. Thank you so much for your reply.

  5. Andre

    Hey Bailey,
    Considering the reviews so far in the North American media, absolutely, yes. If IFC Films bothers to get an Oscar/awards-season campaign going, Kristen Stewart does have a chance.

  6. Bailey

    Hey Andre, a bit too early for making predictions…but do you think Kristen's role in OTR is enough to be nominated for a supporting role….not necessarily for the Palme d'or (don't know if they have a category for this) but for other awards ceremony?




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