Starring about half of Hollywood, Garry Marshall’s Warner Bros. release New Year’s Eve is the latest movie to open to underwhelming figures in North America, according to early, rough box-office estimates found at Deadline.com. After grossing anywhere between $5 and $6 million on Friday, Dec. 9, New Year’s Eve is expected to collect at most a mere $16 million over the weekend.
For comparison’s sake: Marshall’s Valentine’s Day took in $56.26 million in February 2010, while Ken Kwapis‘ similarly packaged all-star romantic comedy-drama He’s Just Not That into You collected $27.78 million in February 2009. Box Office Mojo had predicted an opening for New Year’s Eve close to $30 million.
The extensive New Year’s Eve cast includes Michelle Pfeiffer, Zac Efron, Robert De Niro, Halle Berry, Cary Elwes, Alyssa Milano, Common, Jessica Biel, Seth Meyers, Sarah Paulson, Til Schweiger, Carla Gugino, Katherine Heigl, Jon Bon Jovi, Sofia Vergara, Ashton Kutcher, Lea Michele, James Belushi, Sarah Jessica Parker, Abigail Breslin, Josh Duhamel, Penny Marshall, Cherry Jones, Hilary Swank, Chris ‘Ludacris’ Bridges, Hector Elizondo, and Ryan Seacrest.
Now, one element that He’s Not That Just into You and Valentine’s Day had in common — but that is missing from New Year’s Eve — is Bradley Cooper. When Garry Marshall comes up with "Veteran’s Day" or "President’s Day" or just plain "Easter," he might want to ensure that Cooper is somewhere around.
Expectations for the Jonah Hill vehicle The Sitter were pretty low to begin with — but apparently not low enough. After earning an estimated $3.5 million on Friday, The Sitter should collect at most $9 million over the weekend. That’s about $1 or $2 million less than the most modest predictions.
After three weeks on top, Bill Condon’s The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 will be pushed back at least a couple of spots. Both Breaking Dawn and The Muppets are expected to earn $7 million for the weekend: the former, after pulling in an estimated $2.4 million and the latter after earning $1.7 million on Friday. Remember, kiddie flicks fare much better on the weekend proper, Saturday and Sunday. But then again, so does Breaking Dawn — so, we’ll see.
The extensive Breaking Dawn cast includes Robert Pattinson, Kristen Stewart, Taylor Lautner, Peter Facinelli, Elizabeth Reaser, Kellan Lutz, Ashley Greene, Nikki Reed, Jackson Rathbone, Dakota Fanning, MyAnna Buring, Booboo Stewart, and Michael Sheen.
Plus Maggie Grace, Lee Pace, Sarah Clarke, Anna Kendrick, Christian Serratos, Christopher Heyerdahl, Michael Welch, Christian Camargo, Julia Jones, Gil Birmingham, Kiowa Gordon, Billy Burke, Bronson Pelletier, Charlie Bewley, Tyson Houseman, Daniel Cudmore, Jamie Campbell Bower, Casey LaBow, Mia Maestro, and Alex Meraz.
The Muppets features Amy Adams, Rashida Jones, Chris Cooper, and Jason Segel.
Rounding out the top five is Martin Scorsese’s Hugo, expected to bring in $6 million until Sunday evening. The well-received period fantasy features Asa Butterfield, Chloë Grace Moretz, Ben Kingsley, and Sacha Baron Cohen.
Remember, those are early, rough estimates. Official studio estimates will be released Saturday morning. Official weekend estimates come out on Sunday. Weekend box-office actuals will follow on Monday. Much can change by then.
New Year’s Eve photo: Andrew Schwartz / Warner Bros.