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Palme dOr Winner Prediction: AMOUR

Amour Michael Haneke Jean-Louis Trintignant Emmanuelle Riva
Amour: director Michael Haneke, Emmanuelle Riva, Jean-Louis Trintignant

The Cannes Film Festival 2012's Palme d'Or winner? Well, though the two – critical raves, Palme d'Or – don't always go hand in hand, the most widely acclaimed presentation at Cannes this year was Michael Haneke's tale of love and death, Amour / Love, starring veterans Jean-Louis Trintignant, Emmanuelle Riva, and Isabelle Huppert. So, I'm betting on Amour. [See also Cannes 2012: Best Actor Predictions; Cannes 2012: Best Actress Predictions; several AMOUR review snippets; the French-language AMOUR trailer.]

In case Amour does take home the Palme d'Or, that'll be Michael Haneke's second win in three years: Haneke's The White Ribbon, about Germany's Nazi generation (long before they became Nazis), received Cannes' top prize in 2009.

That would also be a record-breaking small gap between Palme d'Ors:

  • Bille August had to wait four years (Pelle the Conqueror, 1988; The Best Intentions, 1992);
  • Francis Ford Coppola five years (The Conversation, 1974; Apocalypse Now, 1979, tied with Volker Schlöndorff's The Tin Drum);
  • Jean-Pierre Dardenne and Luc Dardenne six years (Rosetta, 1999; L'Enfant / The Child, 2005);
  • Emir Kusturica ten years (When Father Was Away on Business, 1985; Underground, 1995);
  • Shohei Imamura fourteen years (The Ballad of Narayama, 1983; The Eel, 1997, tied with Abbas Kiarostami's A Taste of Cherry).

["2012 Palme d'Or Winner Prediction: Michael Haneke's AMOUR" continues on the next page. See link below.]

Michael Haneke / Jean-Louis Trintignant / Emmanuelle Riva / Amour picture: Films du Losange.

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