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PGA Awards 2013 vs. Academy Awards 2013

Skyfall Ben Whishaw Q Daniel CraigPGA Awards 2013 vs. Academy Awards 2013

[See previous post: "PGA Awards 2013: Surprising Omissions."] As mentioned in the previous post about the Producers Guild Awards 2013, the PGA Awards and the Academy Awards should have very similar Best Producer / Best Picture lists. But in case there are ten Best Picture Oscar nominees, I believe there'll be one discrepancy: Skyfall. (Photo: Ben Whishaw, Daniel Craig Skyfall.)

Even though it's the best-received James Bond movie in years — perhaps decades — most Academy voters will likely not list Skyfall in the no. 1 or no. 2 position. After all, with few exceptions, the Oscars tend to smile at thought-provoking movies (or at least at what Academy members perceive to be thought-provoking).

Of course, there's always the chance that, like last year, there'll be fewer than ten nominees. (If fewer than nine, then Benh Zeitlin's Beasts of the Southern Wild and/or Quentin Tarantino's Django Unchained may also run the risk of being bumped off the list.) But in case the Academy does list ten Best Picture nominees, instead of Skyfall that tenth slot should more likely go to either Michael Haneke's prestigious Palme d'Or-winning Amour, or to a less prestigious but more financially successful Hollywood blockbuster such as Christopher Nolan's The Dark Knight Rises.

TDKR has a good chance at a Best Picture nomination especially if Warner Bros. executives and publicists, aware of the across-the-board love for their key Oscar contender, Ben Affleck's Argo, vote instead for their biggest hit of 2012. It's truly not impossible. Last year, for instance, Warners and Paramount managed to get Stephen Daldry's poorly reviewed Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close shortlisted for Best Picture — one of the film's two eventual Oscar nods (the other one was for Best Supporting Actor Max von Sydow). And in early 2010, one of the ten Best Picture nominees was another Warner Bros. entry with lukewarm-to-mediocre reviews — and coincidentally featuring Extremely Loud & Incredible Close leading lady Sandra Bullock: the blockbuster The Blind Side, whose only other Oscar nod (and eventual win) was for Bullock herself. I should add that neither Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close nor The Blind Side was shortlisted for the PGA Awards.

This year, I must admit, there may be a problem with that sort of Oscar strategy. The Warners vote could be split with the studio's other big 2012 movie, Peter Jackson's late entry The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.

PGA Awards 2013: Other theatrical nominees

Other theatrical 2013 PGA Award nominees are the following:

  • Brave, Frankenweenie, ParaNorman, Rise of the Guardians, and Wreck-It Ralph in the Animated Feature category.
  • A People Uncounted, The Gatekeepers, The Island President, The Other Dream Team, and Searching for Sugar Man in the Documentary Feature category.

In 2013, the Producers Guild will also present special awards to Bob and Harvey Weinstein (Milestone Award), Tim Bevan and Eric Fellner (David O. Selznick Achievement Award), J.J. Abrams (Norman Lear Achievement Award in Television), Russell Simmons (Visionary Award), and the Weinstein Company-distributed documentary Bully (Stanley Kramer Award).

The 2013 Producers Guild Award winners will be announced on January 26 at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills.

Ben Whishaw, Daniel Craig Skyfall photo: Sony Pictures.

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