Silver Linings Playbook: The case for The Weinstein Company PGA Award 'threepeat'
[See previous post: "Ben Affleck Argo: PGA Awards 2013 Top Contenders."] The case for Silver Linings Playbook is The Weinstein Company itself, the domestic distributor of the last two PGA Award winners: Michel Hazanavicius' French-made silent comedy-drama The Artist and Tom Hooper's British-made The King's Speech, both of which went on to win Best Picture Oscars. (Photo: Silver Linings Playbook Bradley Cooper.)
I should add that neither The Artist nor The King's Speech were "likely" PGA Award winners. Last year, Alexander Payne's The Descendants, Tate Taylor's The Help, and Martin Scorsese's Hugo would have been more to the (potentially 5,400) PGA Award voters' tastes; the year before, David Fincher's The Social Network had been the overwhelming favorite. Also worth noting: initially perceived as a box office disappointment, Silver Linings Playbook has earned $56 million to date in the U.S. and Canada and could theoretically surpass the $100m milestone by Oscar time.
PGA Awards 2013 winner?
So, who'll win the Darryl F. Zanuck Producer of the Year Award 2013? Considering that the "Best Picture" PGA Award winner will be chosen by way of the preferential voting system — i.e., several rounds until the eventual winner reaches more than 50 percent of the vote — I'm betting on Argo.
Why Argo? In all honesty, chiefly because of the well-regarded film's recent momentum. Additionally, Argo would be a likely consensus winner because of its theme, its critical reception, and the presence of Ben Affleck and George Clooney as two of the film's producers. (The third one is Grant Heslov.)
Having said that, both Silver Linings Playbook and Lincoln are equally strong contenders, with Zero Dark Thirty a little ways behind them.
PGA Awards 2013: Less likely possibilities
A fifth, though much less likely option would be Ang Lee's Life of Pi. A win by either Beasts of the Southern Wild or Les Misérables would be a major upset. As for Django Unchained, Moonrise Kingdom, and Skyfall, they'll have to content themselves with the "honor of being nominated."
Other theatrical PGA Awards 2013 nominees
Brave, Frankenweenie, ParaNorman, Rise of the Guardians, and Wreck-It Ralph are in the running in the Animated Feature category. A People Uncounted, The Gatekeepers, The Island President, The Other Dream Team, and Searching for Sugar Man are the contenders in the Documentary Feature category.
I'm betting on the critically acclaimed ParaNorman and on Searching for Sugar Man as the winners. Strong runners-up: Frankenweenie and The Gatekeepers.
Additionally, special PGA Awards 2013 recipients include Bob and Harvey Weinstein (Milestone Award), future Star Wars VII director J.J. Abrams (Norman Lear Achievement Award in Television), Tim Bevan and Eric Fellner (David O. Selznick Achievement Award), Russell Simmons (Visionary Award), and the Weinstein Company-distributed documentary Bully (Stanley Kramer Award).
The PGA Awards 2013 ceremony will be held at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills. Presenters include Ben Affleck's wife Jennifer Garner, Nicole Kidman, Bryan Cranston, Marlo Thomas, Jonah Hill, Julianna Margulies, Jessica Alba, Kerry Washington, Damian Lewis, Quentin Tarantino, L.L. Cool J, Robert Rodriguez, and Chris Tucker.
Silver Linings Playbook Bradley Cooper photo: The Weinstein Company.