Roger Deakins (Finally) Best Cinematography Win? Oscar Predictions

Roger Deakins Cinematographer no OscarRoger Deakins: 'True Grit' cinematographer has no Oscar to call his own.

2011 Oscar Predictions: Best Cinematography - Roger Deakins, 'True Grit'

Although Inception's Wally Pfister won the 2011 American Society of Cinematographers Award, it's important to note that the ASC is hardly a good judge of an eventual winner at the Oscars.

Since 1986, only nine ASC Award winners ended up taking home the Academy Award for Best Cinematography. That's about 37.5 percent of the total, or a little more than 1 in 3.

Even if we're only covering the past decade, from 2000–2009 only four ASC Award winners went on to receive the Best Cinematography Oscar. This equals out to a slightly higher, but still relatively low 40 percent.

Roger Deakins: 'Always the bridesmaid' Oscar syndrome

Additionally, members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences may be feeling some heat to finally honor veteran Roger Deakins, as he has been nominated eight previous times without ever winning.

Deakins, in fact, is widely considered one of the greatest cinematographers of all time. Among his efforts are Defense of the Realm, The Secret Garden, Thunderheart, The Shawshank Redemption, Dead Man Walking, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, and Doubt, in addition to several collaborations with True Grit's Joel and Ethan Coen. Those include Fargo, The Big Lebowski, The Man Who Wasn't There, and No Country for Old Men.

Few major Oscar shut-outs

One last point is that out of 77 films with 10 or more Oscar nominations, only three have walked away completely empty-handed:

That's three out of 77, or 3.8 percent.

Given that True Grit doesn't seem to be very competitive in any other Academy Award categories, Cinematography seems to be its one good chance at winning. Therefore, even though Wally Pfister's work on Inception was brilliant, we're keeping our money on Roger Deakins to take home the Oscar.

See also: “More 2011 Oscar Predictions.”


Cinematographer Roger Deakins image via

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