Who'll take home the 2011 Palme d'Or?
I wonder if Little Fockers star and Official Competition jury president Robert De Niro, and fellow jury members Martina Gusman, Olivier Assayas, Johnnie To, Jude Law, Mahamat-Saleh Haroun, Uma Thurman, Linn Ullmann, and Nansun Shi have any idea themselves. (See further below list of Cannes 2011 awards predictions.)
Strong Palme d'Or possibilities include Terrence Malick's The Tree of Life, Aki Kaurismäki's Le Havre, Nicolas Winding Refn's Drive, Pedro Almodóvar's The Skin I Live In, Michel Hazanavicius' The Artist, and Radu Mihaileanu's The Source. That's six out of twenty films.
And I could have easily listed at least four or five more, e.g., Jean and Luc Dardenne's The Kid with a Bike, Nuri Bilge Ceylan's Once Upon a Time in Anatolia, and, tasteless jokes or no, Lars von Trier's Melancholia.
Best Actor possibilities include Jean Dujardin for The Artist, Shlomo Bar Aba and Lior Ashkenazi for Footnote, Brad Pitt for The Tree of Life, Ryan Gosling for Drive, Michael Fuith for Michael, André Wilms for Le Havre, and Nanni Moretti for Habemus Papam.
Top Best Actress contenders include Tilda Swinton for We Need to Talk About Kevin, Emily Browning for Sleeping Beauty, Cécile de France for The Kid with a Bike, Leila Bekhti for The Source, and Kirsten Dunst and Charlotte Gainsbourg for Melancholia.
The problem when it comes to guessing winners at film festivals is that juries are composed of only about eight or so individuals. In other words, there's little room for a “mainstream common denominator” to come out victorious as is the case with most award-voting bodies. Things could go the way of jury president De Niro (much like last year's Venice Film Festival winners reflected jury president Quentin Tarantino's personal likes) – or not.
Anyhow, on the next page are my totally unscientific Cannes 2011 predictions. See link below.
Photo: The Tree of Life (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
Jean Dujardin, Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Palme d'Or: Le Havre
Runner up: See Grand Prix
Grand Prix: Once Upon a Time in Anatolia
Runner up: See Jury Prize
Jury Prize: The Source
Runner-up: The Kid with a Bike
Best Dir.: Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Runner up: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Best Actor: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Runners-up: Shlomo Bar Aba and Lior Ashkenazi for Footnote
Best Actress: Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Runner up: Cécile de France for The Kid with a Bike
Best Scr.: Footnote, Joseph Cedar
Runner up: Aki Kaurismäki, Le Havre
Photo: Cannes Film Festival